Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.067178 0.079847 0.094075 0.111212 0.131267 0.153969 0.181591
2025-03-09 0.047172 0.063217 0.083316 0.110236 0.145227 0.189040 0.247916
2025-03-16 0.035442 0.052207 0.075084 0.108349 0.155207 0.218534 0.310219
2025-03-23 0.029137 0.046418 0.071719 0.111065 0.170216 0.255210 0.385795
2025-03-30 0.023759 0.040582 0.066798 0.110045 0.178857 0.283125 0.451726
2025-04-06 0.019411 0.035340 0.061615 0.107341 0.183911 0.305574 0.511458
2025-04-13 0.015890 0.030711 0.056485 0.103615 0.186333 0.323600 0.565712
2025-04-20 0.013969 0.028494 0.054983 0.105616 0.198278 0.358074 0.650402
2025-04-27 0.012228 0.026258 0.053030 0.106390 0.207962 0.389541 0.733224
2025-05-04 0.010747 0.024240 0.051118 0.106858 0.216970 0.420581 0.818436
2025-05-11 0.009613 0.022715 0.049895 0.108405 0.228072 0.456430 0.916036
2025-05-18 0.008845 0.021833 0.049817 0.112184 0.243907 0.502680 1.037867
2025-05-25 0.007533 0.019505 0.046393 0.108628 0.244734 0.520649 1.108258
2025-06-01 0.006679 0.018094 0.044754 0.108685 0.253132 0.554632 1.214426
2025-06-08 0.005833 0.016531 0.042506 0.107019 0.257537 0.580855 1.307483
2025-06-15 0.005363 0.015839 0.042187 0.109743 0.271998 0.629643 1.452854
2025-06-22 0.004750 0.014638 0.040427 0.108742 0.277749 0.660196 1.562104
2025-06-29 0.004139 0.013316 0.038138 0.106070 0.279165 0.681224 1.652441
2025-07-06 0.003570 0.011989 0.035609 0.102385 0.277596 0.695216 1.728232
2025-07-13 0.003296 0.011496 0.035253 0.104365 0.290408 0.743955 1.889226
2025-07-20 0.003006 0.010894 0.034493 0.105130 0.300196 0.786496 2.039831
2025-07-27 0.002738 0.010303 0.033669 0.105593 0.309243 0.828159 2.192468
2025-08-03 0.002529 0.009869 0.033238 0.107123 0.321359 0.878683 2.371870